# 24.11.07: growth models: r and K species

<div id="bkmrk-population-growth-ra">Population growth rates</div><div id="bkmrk-r-selected-%28r-means-">

- r selected (r means rate) species grow exponentially until they reach or exceed the carrying capacity of the ecosystem (fish, bacteria)
- K selected species grow slowly and reach the carrying capacity (humans, whales, elephants)
- Carrying capacity (K) refers to land, water, food or other biotic requirement for the species
- Biotic potential is the reproductive rate if there were no limits

<div></div></div><div class="sandbox" id="bkmrk-unavailable-apple-wi"><div id="bkmrk-unavailable-apple-wi-1"><div id="bkmrk-unavailable-apple-wi-2"><div><div class="container"><div class="frontside"><div class="iframe">**Unavailable Apple Wiki media:** the exported data did not include file 9e6e16e7-89ab-469f-a663-ab07f799d38d.

</div></div></div></div></div></div></div><div id="bkmrk-we-describe-these-r-">  
  
We describe these r and K species also by their survivorship curves:  
Simple version:</div><div class="sandbox" id="bkmrk-unavailable-apple-wi-3"><div id="bkmrk-unavailable-apple-wi-4"><div id="bkmrk-unavailable-apple-wi-5"><div><div class="container"><div class="frontside"><div class="iframe">**Unavailable Apple Wiki media:** the exported data did not include file e98b1f82-2b74-49d1-8865-9eca79082cb8.

</div></div></div></div></div></div></div>  
What does this mean?<div id="bkmrk-dandelions-have-many">

- Dandelions have many offspring, most of them die, the survivors live on
- Whales have few offspring, take care of them, then live on
- Squirrels die randomly, same for birds, they crash into stuff, old or young
- Where would deer fit into this diagram? Hint: they are another different line

<div>Have a look at the chart above, and think of yourself as an infant.</div></div><div id="bkmrk-compare-with-nemo...">Compare with Nemo...  
  
</div><div id="bkmrk-population-growth%3A-r"><div>Population growth: r and K explained: why do we use those letters?</div></div><div id="bkmrk-https%3A%2F%2Felab.hpa.edu">[https://elab.hpa.edu/apes/videos/bozeman\_science/Population%20Ecology.mp4](https://elab.hpa.edu/apes/videos/bozeman_science/Population%20Ecology.mp4)  
</div>  
Some math to understand this:<div id="bkmrk-exponential-growth-i">Exponential growth is the opposite of radioactive decay which we demonstrated with M&amp;Ms  
At = Ao/2^n   or At = Ao* (1/2^n)  where n is the number of half-lives  
  
  
Populations have doubling times, the time for the population to double, using the same formula:  
At = Ao*2^n  where n is the number of doubling times  
  
  
  
Try this:  
Take a piece of paper, cut it in two, record your result on a table as you do this 6 times  
What was your final total?  
Now do this starting with several sheets of paper (be creative), do this 6 times and record on a table.  
When you start with one sheet, Ao is one  
When you start with several sheets, Ao is the number   
r in this case was 0.693 (a very important number)  
t is the number of times you tore the paper  
Test this out with your calculator  
  
  
Here's what this looks like, called J-shaped growth:</div><div class="sandbox" id="bkmrk-unavailable-apple-wi-6"><div id="bkmrk-unavailable-apple-wi-7"><div id="bkmrk-unavailable-apple-wi-8"><div><div class="container"><div class="frontside"><div class="iframe">**Unavailable Apple Wiki media:** the exported data did not include file 49666958-4963-4315-94c3-c6d7cde85610.

</div></div></div></div></div></div></div>Here's where the r comes from in the r-selected species:<div id="bkmrk-nt-%3D-no-e-%5Ert-%C2%A0-%C2%A0whe">  
  
Nt = No e ^rt    where r is the growth rate in %  
  
(r comes from rate)</div><div class="sandbox" id="bkmrk-unavailable-apple-wi-9"><div id="bkmrk-unavailable-apple-wi-10"><div id="bkmrk-unavailable-apple-wi-11"><div><div class="container"><div class="frontside"><div class="iframe">**Unavailable Apple Wiki media:** the exported data did not include file 000fece1-faa0-45c1-8fbb-8e5b6bfd7825.

</div></div></div></div></div></div></div><div id="bkmrk-so-simple-j-growth-l">  
  
So simple J growth looks like this:</div><div id="bkmrk-%E2%88%86n%2F%E2%88%86t-%3D-rn%E2%88%86n-means-c">## ∆N/∆t = rN

<div>∆N means change in population  
∆t means change in time  
r means reproductive rate  
N means initial population</div>### so,  ∆N/∆t really means growth rate or slope of the growth curve

<div>Note this depends on two things: </div><div>

- Initial population (N)
- reproductive rate (r)

</div></div><div id="bkmrk-what-about-k-selecte">What about K-selected species?  
Examples: humans, whales and elephants  
We use a different equation for this, but it is really the same equation:  
## ∆N/∆t = rN(1-N/K)

</div><div id="bkmrk-k-is-the%C2%A0carrying-ca">  
K is the carrying capacity of an ecosystem:</div><div class="sandbox" id="bkmrk-unavailable-apple-wi-12"><div id="bkmrk-unavailable-apple-wi-13"><div id="bkmrk-unavailable-apple-wi-14"><div><div class="container"><div class="frontside"><div class="iframe">**Unavailable Apple Wiki media:** the exported data did not include file 6364cbfc-806a-42fd-82c8-d558f5cf5a39.

</div></div></div></div></div></div></div>  
Look at the formula:<div id="bkmrk-if-the-population-is">If the population is well below K (the carrying capacity) then the rate of population growth is </div># ∆N/∆t = rN(1-0) or ∆N/∆t = rN

<div id="bkmrk-%28j-shaped-growth-aga">  
(J shaped growth again)  
  
As the population approaches K the value in the parentheses becomes 0 (no growth) then negative (die off or overshoot):</div><div class="sandbox" id="bkmrk-unavailable-apple-wi-15"><div id="bkmrk-unavailable-apple-wi-16"><div id="bkmrk-unavailable-apple-wi-17"><div><div class="container"><div class="frontside"><div class="iframe">**Unavailable Apple Wiki media:** the exported data did not include file 6b256936-53a6-4d26-8d9a-01065e69d3cd.

</div></div></div></div></div></div></div><div id="bkmrk-two-types-of-growth-">Two types of growth factors:</div>

- Density dependent factors: food, water, land
- Density independent factors: disasters (flood, fire)

<div id="bkmrk-important-fact%3A%C2%A0as-f">Important fact: as food becomes limited, K species will have fewer offspring, so they approach the carrying capacity (K) more gradually, not overshoot and die off.  
  
  
Try this formula with an island that can hold 100 rabbits, using the numbers above (50% growth rate).  
Try this with 50 rabbits, 100 rabbits, 150 rabbits.  
What is the value of ∆N/∆t in each case?  
What does this mean about the slope of the growth curve?  
  
  
From Wikipedia:  
  
</div><div class="sandbox" id="bkmrk-unavailable-apple-wi-18"><div id="bkmrk-unavailable-apple-wi-19"><div id="bkmrk-unavailable-apple-wi-20"><div><div class="container"><div class="frontside"><div class="iframe">**Unavailable Apple Wiki media:** the exported data did not include file b731a107-97f7-4133-ba4d-96c5cb5ce5bd.

</div></div></div></div></div></div></div><div id="bkmrk--6">  
</div><div id="bkmrk-where%C2%A0n%C2%A0is-the%C2%A0popul">where N is the [population](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Population "Population"), r is the maximum [growth rate](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Population_growth_rate "Population growth rate"), K is the [carrying capacity](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carrying_capacity "Carrying capacity") of the local environment, and dN/dt, the [derivative](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Derivative "Derivative") of N with respect to time t, is the rate of change in population with time. Thus, the equation relates the growth rate of the population N to the current population size, incorporating the effect of the two constant parameters r and K. (Note that decrease is negative growth.) The choice of the letter K came from the [German](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/German_language "German language") Kapazitätsgrenze (capacity limit), while r came from rate.  
</div><div id="bkmrk--7">  
</div><div class="sandbox" id="bkmrk-unavailable-apple-wi-21"><div id="bkmrk-unavailable-apple-wi-22"><div id="bkmrk-unavailable-apple-wi-23"><div><div class="container"><div class="frontside"><div class="iframe">**Unavailable Apple Wiki media:** the exported data did not include file b9992638-2b81-4d02-a886-9d3e05b60d12.

</div></div></div></div></div></div></div><div id="bkmrk-predator-prey-oscill">  
  
Predator Prey oscillations:  
Lynx and hare demo: </div><div class="sandbox" id="bkmrk-unavailable-apple-wi-24"><div id="bkmrk-unavailable-apple-wi-25"><div id="bkmrk-unavailable-apple-wi-26"><div><div class="container"><div class="frontside"><div class="iframe">**Unavailable Apple Wiki media:** the exported data did not include file c8eb3205-aaaa-460d-b54a-67d9d40b8e9e.

</div></div></div></div></div></div></div>Note that the predator peaks after the prey, then overshoots...<div id="bkmrk-predator-prey-simula">  
Predator prey simulators:</div><div id="bkmrk-population-growth-mo"><div><div role="button" title="Quick Look Attachment."></div><div><div></div><div><div title="Population Growth Model.numbers">Population Growth Model.numbers</div></div></div></div>  
<div><div role="button" title="Quick Look Attachment."></div><div><div></div><div><div title="Population Growth Model.xls">Population Growth Model.xls</div></div></div></div>  
Interesting math stuff: (optional)</div><div class="sandbox" id="bkmrk--8"><div id="bkmrk--9"><div id="bkmrk--10"><div><div class="container"><div class="frontside"><div class="iframe">![{&#92;displaystyle {&#92;frac {dx}{dt}}=kx}](https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/af513e833229d0dcca9a97ebe43f56edd3864e1a)</div></div></div></div></div></div></div>saying that the change per instant of time of x at time t is proportional to the value of x(t), and x(t) has the [initial value](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Initial_value "Initial value")<div class="sandbox" id="bkmrk--11"><div id="bkmrk--12"><div id="bkmrk--13"><div><div class="container"><div class="frontside"><div class="iframe">![{&#92;displaystyle x(0)=x&#95;{0}}](https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/20c92f17b65057cd0714e255b61557b6ba31f61b)</div></div></div></div></div></div></div>.The differential equation is solved by direct integration:

<div class="sandbox" id="bkmrk--15"><div id="bkmrk--16"><div id="bkmrk--17"><div><div class="container"><div class="frontside"><div class="iframe">![{&#92;displaystyle {&#92;begin{aligned}{&#92;frac {dx}{dt}}&amp;amp;=kx&#92;&#92;&#91;5pt&#93;{&#92;frac {dx}{x}}&amp;amp;=k&#92;,dt&#92;&#92;&#91;5pt&#93;&#92;int &#95;{x&#95;{0}}^{x(t)}{&#92;frac {dx}{x}}&amp;amp;=k&#92;int &#95;{0}^{t}&#92;,dt&#92;&#92;&#91;5pt&#93;&#92;ln {&#92;frac {x(t)}{x&#95;{0}}}&amp;amp;=kt.&#92;end{aligned}}}](https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/9edfd8a55aac251d0d778e9f63f9bad93c584033)</div></div></div></div></div></div></div>so that <div class="sandbox" id="bkmrk--18"><div id="bkmrk--19"><div id="bkmrk--20"><div><div class="container"><div class="frontside"><div class="iframe">![{&#92;displaystyle x(t)=x&#95;{0}e^{kt}.}](https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/a3a8ad43b63b9bfc51da77c09023f41b03803ab0)</div></div></div></div></div></div></div>  
  
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